Rays vs Red Sox Prediction - MLB Picks 6/2/23

Boston Red Sox (29-27) vs Tampa Bay Rays (40-18)

Game Info: Friday, June 2, 2023 at 7:10 pm (Fenway Park)

Garrett Whitlock (2-2) (5.14) vs Tyler Glasnow (0-0) (6.23)

Betting Odds: Boston Red Sox +105 / Tampa Bay Rays -125 --- Over/Under: 9 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Tampa Bay Rays will play the Boston Red Sox in Game 1 of their series on Friday night at Fenway Park in Boston, Massachusetts.

Rays Preview

The Tampa Bay Rays are 40-18 this season and they have lost three of their last five games. Tampa Bay is coming off of a series loss to the Cubs, where they lost two out of three games. The Tampa Bay pitching staff has a 3.69 ERA, a 1.21 WHIP, and a .230 opponent batting average this year. The Rays offense has scored 340 runs with a .267 batting average and a .343 on base percentage. Randy Arozarena is batting .297 with 11 home runs and 40 RBI’s for the Rays. The projected starting pitcher for Tampa Bay is Tyler Glasnow, who is 0-0 with a 6.23 ERA and a 1.38 WHIP over 4.1 innings pitched this season.

Red Sox Preview

The Boston Red Sox are 29-27 this season and they have lost three of their last four Games. Boston is coming off of a series loss to the Reds, where they lost two out of three Games. The Boston pitching staff has a 4.65 ERA, a 1.32 WHIP, and a .252 opponent batting average. The Red Sox offense has scored 293 runs with a .264 batting average and a .333 on base percentage this season. Rafael Devers is batting .252 with 13 home runs and 48 RBI’s for the Red Sox. The projected starting pitcher for Boston is Garrett Whitlock, who is 2-2 with a 5.14 ERA and a 1.19 WHIP over 21.0 innings pitched this year. 

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Trends

Tampa Bay is 5-1 in their last 6 Friday Games and 25-9 in their last 34 Game one’s of a series. The under is 4-0 in Tampa Bay’s last 4 road Games. Boston is 5-2 in their last 7 Friday Games and 4-7 in their last 11 Games. The over is 23-8 in Boston’s last 31 home Games. The over is 19-7-1 in these two teams last 27 head to head meetings in Boston.

Pick

The Rays come into this Game with a great record, but they have ran into some issues over their last few Games. Boston was able to avoid being swept by Cincinnati on Thursday and will have the home field advantage in this one. The Red Sox are starting Garrett Whitlock, who has allowed 12 earned runs over his last four starts (21 IP). The Rays are starting Tyler Glasnow, who allowed three earned runs over 4.1 innings against the Dodgers in his first start. Both of these pitchers are coming off of injuries and will be facing very good offenses in this Game. I like the over here. 

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